New Mexico State vs Fresno State 10/16/2010

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Fresno State is a heavy favorite winning 92% of simulations over New Mexico State. Ryan Colburn is averaging 254 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Robbie Rouse is projected for 75 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 8% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Matt Christian averages 1.1 TD passes vs 0.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.46 TDs to 0.48 interceptions. Kenny Turner averages 66 rushing yards and 0.83 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 57 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Fresno State has a 29% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FREST -30

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